Netflix: Best Days Maybe Behind As Competition Intensifies
Summary
- We are bearish on Netflix as we believe the company's best days are behind it as competition intensifies amidst lofty valuation compared to its peer group.
- While Netflix is still a household name, we expect subscriber growth to slow as competition from Disney+, Hulu, Apple TV, Amazon Prime, and HBO intensifies.
- While Netflix will benefit from the launch of the ad-supported service, generating hit content consistently is a daunting task even for the most seasoned entertainment players.
- Netflix's 1Q22 & 2Q22 reports do not incite much optimism in the company's subscriber growth as Netflix no longer retains its "first mover advantage."
- We believe Netflix is expensive, trading at 21.3x C2023 P/E basis compared to the pure play peer group average of 13.8x.
This article was written by
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
